Gil Vicente vs Sporting Braga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.2%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
5%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
10%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
65.1%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.8%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
5º
16º
13º
78
2º
8º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
87 | 87 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
85 | 85 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
78 | 78 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
74 | 74 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
54 | 54 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
53 | 53 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 44 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
44 | 44 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
41 | 41 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
40 | 40 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
40 | 40 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
37 | 37 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
35 | 35 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
34 | 34 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
26 | 26 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
23 | 23 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
22 | 22 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 100% |
|
Europa League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gil Vicente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
CHA
3 - 1
GFC
38%
28%
34%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
SER
0 - 3
GFC
5%
12%
83%
|
73 | 36 | 37 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
GFC
0 - 1
EST
46%
28%
26%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
SCP
3 - 1
GFC
73%
18%
10%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
GFC
2 - 2
RIO
40%
28%
32%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2022 |
FCU
1 - 0
SPB
34%
25%
40%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
EST
0 - 2
SPB
16%
21%
63%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
FEL
1 - 2
SPB
6%
14%
80%
|
86 | 45 | 41 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2022 |
UNI
3 - 3
SPB
38%
25%
37%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
SPB
0 - 1
CHA
77%
16%
7%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |