Gil Vicente vs Penafiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.5%
14.4%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gil Vicente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2007 |
VAR
0 - 0
GFC
41%
28%
31%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2007 |
GFC
2 - 1
VIZ
62%
22%
16%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
OLH
0 - 0
GFC
40%
28%
32%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
GFC
3 - 0
GON
57%
23%
19%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
VIT
1 - 0
GFC
51%
28%
22%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2007 |
PEN
0 - 0
CHA
58%
24%
17%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2007 |
OLM
1 - 2
PEN
46%
27%
28%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
POR
1 - 1
PEN
38%
28%
34%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
PEN
2 - 1
VAR
39%
27%
34%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
VIZ
0 - 0
PEN
50%
26%
24%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |