Gil Vicente vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.4%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.4%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
61.5%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gil Vicente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
SLB
3 - 1
GFC
82%
12%
6%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2012 |
RIO
1 - 1
GFC
46%
26%
28%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
FEI
0 - 0
GFC
35%
28%
37%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
GFC
0 - 3
NAC
41%
27%
32%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 2012 |
GFC
2 - 1
MOR
62%
22%
17%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
FCP
3 - 1
VIT
75%
16%
9%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2012 |
FCP
1 - 0
EST
82%
13%
5%
|
89 | 70 | 19 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
FCP
2 - 0
RIO
80%
14%
6%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
SCP
0 - 0
FCP
45%
24%
31%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2011 |
PAÇ
1 - 2
FCP
23%
23%
54%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | -1 |