Gil Vicente vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.8%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
19.6%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gil Vicente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
MOR
1 - 0
GFC
46%
26%
28%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2005 |
GFC
2 - 0
BMA
58%
24%
19%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2005 |
BOA
2 - 2
GFC
57%
26%
17%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2005 |
GFC
0 - 3
SCP
22%
24%
55%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2005 |
GFC
0 - 1
PEN
62%
22%
16%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
ACA
1 - 0
NAC
35%
27%
39%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2005 |
SLB
3 - 0
ACA
75%
17%
8%
|
63 | 86 | 23 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2005 |
ACA
0 - 2
VIT
48%
27%
26%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2005 |
ACA
1 - 2
MAR
42%
27%
31%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2005 |
SPB
2 - 0
ACA
65%
21%
14%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |