Gestel vs Gemert analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.4%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.4%
27.2%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gestel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
GRO
2 - 0
GES
27%
21%
52%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
VLI
1 - 1
GES
45%
22%
34%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
DES
4 - 0
GES
26%
22%
52%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | -2 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
GES
2 - 1
BLA
54%
20%
27%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
DON
1 - 2
GES
72%
16%
12%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Gemert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
GEM
2 - 1
DES
50%
22%
28%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
GEM
1 - 1
TOP
79%
14%
8%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
BAR
1 - 1
GEM
28%
24%
47%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
GEM
0 - 1
UDI
48%
23%
29%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
OSS
2 - 1
GEM
67%
19%
14%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | 0 |