SD Gernika vs Zarauzko Ke analysis


28	ELO	11
-13%	Tilt	-18.4%
5135º	General ELO ranking	20119º
159º	Country ELO ranking	6120º
ELO win probability

77.7%

SD Gernika

15.3%

Draw

7%

Zarauzko Ke

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of each margin of victory

77.6%
Win probability

                        
                    
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%

15.3%

Draw

0-0

5.5%

1-1

7.1%

2-2

2.3%

3-3

0.3%

4-4

<0%

0

15.3%

7%

Win probability

0.56

Expected goals

0-1

3%

1-2

2%

2-3

0.4%

3-4

0%

-1

5.5%

0-2

0.8%

1-3

0.4%

2-4

0.1%

-2

1.3%

0-3

0.2%

1-4

0.1%

-3

0.2%

0-4

0%

-4

<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

SD Gernika

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
10 Sep. 2011	ZAM 1 - 2 GER 43% 27% 30%	27	25	2	0
04 Sep. 2011	GER 2 - 0 LEI 43% 26% 31%	26	26	0	+1
28 Aug. 2011	EIB 0 - 0 GER 45% 27% 28%	26	24	2	0
14 May. 2011	AMU 1 - 1 GER 39% 28% 33%	26	23	3	0
08 May. 2011	GER 0 - 1 LEI 50% 25% 25%	27	25	2	-1