SD Gernika vs Tolosa CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.3%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
13%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
15.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.8%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.2%
15.5%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
UDS
2 - 4
GER
24%
28%
48%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2008 |
GER
0 - 1
POR
40%
28%
33%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2008 |
BAS
1 - 1
GER
47%
26%
26%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2008 |
LAU
1 - 2
GER
28%
29%
44%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2008 |
GER
0 - 0
ZAM
48%
28%
24%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Tolosa CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
TOL
1 - 3
ZAM
33%
29%
38%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2008 |
LON
4 - 0
TOL
53%
25%
22%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2008 |
TOL
0 - 0
ZAR
56%
24%
20%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2008 |
CDU
0 - 0
TOL
44%
26%
30%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2008 |
TOL
1 - 0
SDA
23%
28%
49%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | +2 |