SD Gernika vs Tolosa CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.1%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.7%
17.2%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 1986 |
RUN
4 - 1
GER
63%
22%
16%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1986 |
GER
3 - 1
HER
62%
23%
16%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1986 |
SFC
2 - 2
GER
50%
28%
22%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1986 |
GER
1 - 1
SDE
39%
27%
34%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1986 |
MUT
3 - 2
GER
34%
30%
36%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Tolosa CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 1986 |
TOL
2 - 2
ARE
56%
26%
18%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1986 |
ORT
1 - 3
TOL
30%
29%
42%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1986 |
TOL
1 - 1
AFT
44%
28%
28%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1986 |
ELG
2 - 1
TOL
34%
28%
38%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 1986 |
TOL
1 - 1
POR
44%
28%
28%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |