SD Gernika vs SD Erandio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.3%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
22.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1987 |
ZAL
0 - 3
GER
70%
19%
11%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1987 |
GER
0 - 2
HER
29%
28%
42%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 1987 |
TOL
2 - 0
GER
57%
25%
18%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 1987 |
GER
2 - 1
AFT
57%
25%
18%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 1987 |
PAS
3 - 2
GER
36%
28%
36%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
SD Erandio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1987 |
SDE
1 - 1
SDA
47%
25%
27%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1987 |
BAR
1 - 0
SDE
78%
15%
7%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1987 |
SDE
1 - 3
ARE
67%
21%
13%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 1987 |
CDM
3 - 1
SDE
48%
27%
25%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 1987 |
SDE
0 - 1
AUR
62%
23%
16%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | -1 |