SD Gernika vs Santutxu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.9%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
23.3%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 1985 |
SDE
1 - 1
GER
85%
11%
4%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1985 |
GER
3 - 0
MUT
55%
25%
19%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 1985 |
EIB
4 - 0
GER
81%
14%
5%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1985 |
GER
1 - 0
SNT
54%
26%
20%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1985 |
BAS
3 - 2
GER
81%
14%
5%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Santutxu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 1985 |
SFC
0 - 1
ARE
58%
26%
17%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1985 |
ORT
1 - 1
SFC
19%
26%
56%
|
29 | 16 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1985 |
SFC
0 - 0
AFT
49%
27%
24%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1985 |
ELG
2 - 1
SFC
35%
27%
38%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 1985 |
SFC
3 - 1
POR
31%
29%
40%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | +2 |