SD Gernika vs La Roda CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
34.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
TAL
0 - 0
GER
48%
25%
27%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
GER
1 - 1
LEI
48%
26%
26%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
POR
0 - 0
GER
26%
27%
46%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
CDM
2 - 0
GER
30%
28%
42%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | -2 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
GER
1 - 0
BAR
24%
30%
46%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
La Roda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
ROD
1 - 0
BAR
24%
30%
46%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
GUA
1 - 1
ROD
42%
26%
32%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
ROD
0 - 1
FUE
36%
26%
38%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -2 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
GET
0 - 1
ROD
29%
26%
45%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
ROD
1 - 3
UDS
42%
27%
31%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |