SD Gernika vs RM Castilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.2%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.1%
57.9%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
15.8%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.7%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
CDM
3 - 2
GER
50%
26%
23%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
GER
4 - 1
NAV
36%
26%
38%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +2 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
SSR
2 - 1
GER
50%
26%
24%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
SES
2 - 0
GER
58%
25%
17%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
GER
0 - 2
SDA
34%
27%
38%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
RM Castilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
RMC
3 - 2
SDA
76%
15%
9%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
RUN
1 - 0
RMC
30%
28%
43%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
RMC
3 - 2
RSO
72%
17%
11%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
RMC
0 - 2
VAL
78%
14%
8%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2016 |
MAD
1 - 0
RMC
30%
25%
45%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |