SD Gernika vs RM Castilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.1%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
11.3%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
11.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
25.6%
59.4%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
17.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.7%
0-2
13.6%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
MAJ
2 - 2
GER
40%
27%
34%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
GER
0 - 0
CDE
46%
26%
28%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
ROD
1 - 1
GER
40%
28%
32%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
GER
3 - 3
TAL
42%
27%
31%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
LEI
2 - 2
GER
41%
28%
32%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
RM Castilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
RMC
0 - 0
BAR
72%
18%
10%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
GUA
1 - 2
RMC
25%
28%
48%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
RMC
3 - 2
FUE
78%
14%
8%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
GET
2 - 0
RMC
15%
25%
60%
|
65 | 46 | 19 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
RMC
3 - 1
UDS
82%
13%
5%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | 0 |