SD Gernika vs Portugalete analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.2%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
44.3%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
LON
0 - 0
GER
58%
24%
18%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
GER
1 - 1
LAU
31%
29%
40%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
CDU
2 - 0
GER
66%
21%
13%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
GER
0 - 2
EIB
56%
24%
19%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | -2 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
ZAL
0 - 1
GER
42%
28%
30%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Portugalete
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
POR
0 - 0
SFC
53%
24%
23%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
SES
4 - 0
POR
31%
28%
42%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | -3 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
POR
1 - 1
SNT
73%
18%
9%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
AMU
0 - 4
POR
27%
27%
47%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
POR
3 - 0
LEI
58%
22%
19%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | +1 |