SD Gernika vs Leioa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
25.9%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
POR
0 - 0
GER
26%
27%
46%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
CDM
2 - 0
GER
30%
28%
42%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | -2 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
GER
1 - 0
BAR
24%
30%
46%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
GUA
2 - 2
GER
44%
27%
29%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
GER
3 - 1
FUE
28%
26%
46%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Leioa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
LEI
0 - 1
BAR
24%
29%
47%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
GUA
1 - 1
LEI
52%
25%
24%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
LEI
0 - 0
FUE
32%
25%
43%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
GET
3 - 1
LEI
31%
27%
42%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | -2 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
LEI
2 - 1
UDS
37%
27%
36%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | +1 |