SD Gernika vs Leioa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.7%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
31.2%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
EIB
0 - 0
GER
45%
27%
28%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
AMU
1 - 1
GER
39%
28%
33%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
GER
0 - 1
LEI
50%
25%
25%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
BAS
5 - 3
GER
63%
22%
16%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2011 |
GER
1 - 1
AUR
62%
22%
16%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Leioa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
LEI
1 - 0
BFC
59%
23%
18%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
LEI
2 - 0
ZAL
40%
26%
34%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
GER
0 - 1
LEI
50%
25%
25%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
LEI
3 - 1
SFC
37%
27%
37%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | +2 |
| 20 Apr. 2011 |
SES
0 - 1
LEI
55%
25%
20%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | +1 |