SD Gernika vs CD Aurrera Vitoria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.8%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
18.1%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
GER
2 - 0
ZAL
47%
26%
27%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
CLU
0 - 2
GER
28%
27%
45%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
GER
1 - 1
AMU
76%
17%
7%
|
37 | 18 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
SDE
0 - 1
GER
15%
24%
61%
|
37 | 19 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
PAS
0 - 1
GER
24%
27%
50%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
CD Aurrera Vitoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
BFC
1 - 3
AUR
57%
22%
21%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
AUR
0 - 2
ZAM
45%
25%
29%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
RSO
1 - 0
AUR
47%
24%
28%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
AUR
1 - 1
BEA
42%
26%
32%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2015 |
AUR
0 - 0
BAS
47%
25%
29%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | +1 |