SD Gernika vs CD Aurrera Vitoria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.1%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
11%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.6%
29.8%
Draw
0-0
13%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.8%
44.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
15.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.8%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1998 |
TRO
2 - 0
GER
25%
28%
47%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1998 |
GER
1 - 0
CUL
27%
30%
44%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | +2 |
| 04 Oct. 1998 |
UBC
0 - 0
GER
37%
27%
36%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1998 |
GER
2 - 0
AMU
40%
29%
30%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 1998 |
ELG
2 - 1
GER
52%
24%
24%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
CD Aurrera Vitoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1998 |
AUR
0 - 1
LEM
61%
25%
14%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1998 |
ATH
1 - 0
AUR
48%
26%
25%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 1998 |
TRO
1 - 0
AUR
22%
28%
51%
|
54 | 31 | 23 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1998 |
AUR
0 - 1
CUL
48%
28%
24%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 1998 |
UBC
1 - 0
AUR
24%
28%
49%
|
55 | 33 | 22 | 0 |