SD Gernika vs SCD Durango analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
16.3%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.2%
32%
Draw
0-0
15.7%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
32%
27.9%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1992 |
ZAL
0 - 2
GER
59%
25%
16%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1992 |
SDA
1 - 1
GER
79%
15%
6%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 1992 |
GER
1 - 0
SOD
45%
30%
25%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1992 |
SDA
0 - 1
GER
78%
16%
6%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 May. 1992 |
GER
0 - 1
RUN
22%
29%
49%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
SCD Durango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1992 |
CDU
1 - 0
SDA
30%
29%
41%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1992 |
SOD
1 - 0
CDU
43%
30%
27%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 1992 |
CDU
1 - 0
GAL
53%
26%
21%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 May. 1992 |
CDU
1 - 1
ELG
43%
29%
28%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1992 |
MON
1 - 0
CDU
43%
30%
28%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | -1 |