SD Gernika vs CD Basconia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.6%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
24%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
31.5%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+87%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 1974 |
BAS
3 - 0
GER
66%
20%
15%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1974 |
GIM
4 - 1
GER
75%
15%
10%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | -2 |
| 08 Dec. 1974 |
GER
1 - 0
CDG
43%
29%
28%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | +2 |
| 04 Dec. 1974 |
GER
0 - 0
BAS
45%
24%
31%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1974 |
AST
1 - 1
GER
46%
24%
30%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
CD Basconia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 1974 |
BAS
3 - 0
GER
66%
20%
15%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1974 |
CDG
2 - 1
BAS
65%
22%
13%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1974 |
BAS
1 - 1
CFP
45%
30%
25%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1974 |
GER
0 - 0
BAS
45%
24%
31%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1974 |
UPL
1 - 1
BAS
76%
17%
7%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | 0 |