Germinal de Rawson vs Circulo Deportivo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.2%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
24.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+54%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
2º
7º
7º
29
6º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 46 |
3º
|
92.5% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 44 |
4º
|
58% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
58% | |
|
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
29 | 29 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 24 |
9º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germinal de Rawson
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2023 |
OLI
3 - 1
GER
78%
16%
6%
|
50 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
CSS
1 - 4
GER
56%
24%
21%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | +2 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
GER
1 - 1
CIP
37%
28%
35%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
RSA
1 - 1
GER
67%
21%
12%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
GER
1 - 0
VIL
19%
30%
51%
|
46 | 62 | 16 | +2 |
Matches
Circulo Deportivo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2023 |
CDC
2 - 1
CIP
31%
28%
41%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
CDC
0 - 1
RSA
18%
26%
56%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2023 |
VIL
3 - 1
CDC
73%
19%
9%
|
46 | 62 | 16 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
CDC
3 - 0
LIN
24%
27%
50%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | +2 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
SAN
2 - 0
CDC
69%
19%
12%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |