Germania Teveren vs SpVgg Frechen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.1%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.6%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.3%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
56.9%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.4%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.7%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
1º
15º
15º
55
1º
4º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 64 |
2º
|
83.5% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 62 |
3º
|
60% | |
|
|
4º
|
55 | 61 |
4º
|
62% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 58 |
5º
|
84% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 45 |
6º
|
97% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 42 |
7º
|
78.5% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 38 |
8º
|
39% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 38 |
9º
|
36% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 37 |
10º
|
17.5% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 36 |
11º
|
36.5% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 35 |
12º
|
47.5% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 27 |
13º
|
61.5% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 27 |
14º
|
63% | |
|
|
15º
|
18 | 21 |
15º
|
74% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 14 |
16º
|
76% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
2% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
98% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germania Teveren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2024 |
GET
1 - 1
BFR
29%
23%
49%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
FVE
3 - 4
GET
43%
23%
34%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
GET
2 - 0
KON
22%
20%
58%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | +3 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
SVE
12 - 1
GET
82%
11%
7%
|
22 | 45 | 23 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
GET
1 - 2
H05
13%
17%
70%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
SpVgg Frechen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
SPF
3 - 2
FVE
73%
16%
11%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
SPF
0 - 3
BER
43%
25%
33%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | -2 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
SIE
0 - 0
SPF
35%
24%
41%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
SPF
2 - 1
VFL
33%
22%
44%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | +2 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
SCF
1 - 0
SPF
51%
22%
28%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |