Georgia U21 vs Polonia U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
46.9%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Georgia U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2008 |
RUS
4 - 0
GEO
73%
17%
11%
|
52 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2008 |
GEO
4 - 0
LVA
53%
23%
24%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2007 |
GEO
2 - 0
RUS
15%
20%
65%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2007 |
KAZ
4 - 1
GEO
47%
25%
29%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2007 |
ESP
4 - 0
GEO
81%
14%
5%
|
51 | 82 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
Polonia U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2008 |
SWE
1 - 0
POL
56%
23%
21%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2008 |
POL
3 - 0
BGR
47%
24%
29%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2008 |
KAZ
3 - 0
POL
26%
24%
50%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2008 |
FIN
1 - 0
POL
29%
25%
46%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2008 |
POL
2 - 2
BLR
45%
24%
31%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |