European U21 Championship qualifying Round 2

Georgia U21 vs Estonia U21 analysis

Georgia U21 Estonia U21
51 ELO 34
3.1% Tilt -6.3%
2678º General ELO ranking 7898º
17º Country ELO ranking 46º
ELO win probability
72.8%
Georgia U21
17.1%
Draw
10%
Estonia U21

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.8%
Win probability
Georgia U21
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
10%
Win probability
Estonia U21
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Georgia U21
+31%
+23%
Estonia U21

ELO progression

Georgia U21
Estonia U21
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Georgia U21
Georgia U21
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Oct. 2015
GEO
Georgia U21
2 - 5
España U21
ESP
9%
18%
73%
52 85 33 0
03 Sep. 2015
CRO
Croacia U21
1 - 0
Georgia U21
GEO
74%
18%
9%
52 68 16 0
03 Jun. 2015
SMR
San Marino U21
0 - 3
Georgia U21
GEO
20%
22%
58%
52 20 32 0
04 Sep. 2014
NED
Países Bajos U21
0 - 1
Georgia U21
GEO
80%
15%
6%
51 77 26 +1
05 Mar. 2014
GEO
Georgia U21
0 - 3
Luxemburgo U21
LUX
77%
16%
8%
52 24 28 -1

Matches

Estonia U21
Estonia U21
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Oct. 2015
SWE
Suecia U21
5 - 0
Estonia U21
EST
87%
10%
3%
35 75 40 0
07 Sep. 2015
EST
Estonia U21
0 - 4
Croacia U21
CRO
8%
16%
76%
36 69 33 -1
02 Sep. 2015
EST
Estonia U21
0 - 2
España U21
ESP
6%
15%
79%
36 85 49 0
16 Jun. 2015
EST
Estonia U21
0 - 0
San Marino U21
SMR
71%
17%
13%
36 20 16 0
30 Mar. 2015
EST
Estonia U21
1 - 2
Kazajistán U21
KAZ
33%
25%
43%
37 47 10 -1