Georgia U21 vs Estonia U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.2%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
9%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.1%
11.7%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Georgia U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2012 |
GEO
1 - 1
CRO
17%
20%
63%
|
52 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2012 |
EST
1 - 2
GEO
25%
24%
51%
|
51 | 40 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2011 |
SUI
5 - 0
GEO
80%
13%
6%
|
52 | 75 | 23 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2011 |
GEO
0 - 1
SUI
15%
20%
65%
|
52 | 74 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2011 |
ESP
2 - 0
GEO
82%
14%
5%
|
52 | 84 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
Estonia U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2012 |
AZE
2 - 0
EST
59%
22%
19%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2012 |
EST
1 - 2
GEO
25%
24%
51%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | -1 |
| 31 May. 2012 |
EST
0 - 1
ESP
7%
16%
77%
|
39 | 85 | 46 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
EST
0 - 2
KGZ
66%
19%
16%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2012 |
TJK
1 - 1
EST
27%
23%
51%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | 0 |