Georgia U19 vs Italy U19s analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.4%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.7%
21%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
63.6%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Georgia U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2003 |
BEL
3 - 0
GEO
70%
18%
13%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2003 |
LVA
0 - 2
GEO
43%
24%
33%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2003 |
ITA
3 - 1
GEO
74%
16%
10%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2003 |
GEO
1 - 1
NIR
48%
24%
29%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2002 |
GEO
2 - 0
FRO
68%
18%
14%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Italy U19s
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2003 |
ITA
2 - 0
EST
83%
12%
5%
|
58 | 39 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2003 |
ITA
2 - 0
PRT
49%
24%
28%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2003 |
ITA
1 - 0
CZE
50%
23%
27%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2003 |
ITA
5 - 1
LIE
92%
6%
1%
|
56 | 5 | 51 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2003 |
PRT
1 - 1
ITA
42%
24%
34%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |