Genoa vs Sambenedettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.7%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
16.4%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 1961 |
MAN
3 - 0
GEN
58%
22%
20%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1961 |
GEN
1 - 2
USA
52%
24%
24%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 1961 |
VNZ
4 - 0
GEN
47%
27%
26%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 1961 |
PAR
0 - 0
GEN
43%
28%
29%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1961 |
GEN
1 - 1
ACP
62%
22%
16%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 1961 |
SSS
1 - 0
USF
55%
23%
22%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1961 |
VER
2 - 1
SSS
60%
22%
18%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1961 |
SSS
1 - 0
ASS
51%
27%
22%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1961 |
FCC
1 - 0
SSS
57%
23%
19%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1961 |
SSS
3 - 1
COM
50%
27%
23%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |