Genoa vs Siena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
27%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2003 |
ANC
1 - 0
GEN
63%
21%
16%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2003 |
GEN
1 - 1
PAL
51%
25%
24%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2003 |
GEN
1 - 2
ASC
57%
23%
20%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2003 |
VER
2 - 2
GEN
60%
23%
17%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2003 |
GEN
0 - 2
SAM
40%
26%
34%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Siena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2003 |
SIE
0 - 0
VER
38%
28%
34%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2003 |
VNZ
1 - 3
SIE
47%
27%
26%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2003 |
SIE
2 - 0
LIV
45%
28%
27%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2003 |
SAM
0 - 0
SIE
62%
23%
15%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2003 |
SIE
0 - 1
TER
42%
28%
30%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | -1 |