Genoa vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.7%
9.3%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
BAS
1 - 2
GEN
35%
28%
37%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2016 |
GEN
4 - 1
USA
80%
14%
6%
|
82 | 57 | 25 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2016 |
ASL
0 - 3
GEN
10%
19%
72%
|
82 | 49 | 33 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
GEN
1 - 0
RIZ
62%
22%
16%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2016 |
GEN
3 - 0
FCS
86%
11%
3%
|
82 | 50 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2016 |
ASC
2 - 2
LEC
37%
24%
39%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
LEC
2 - 1
AVI
75%
16%
8%
|
64 | 43 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
USF
2 - 1
LEC
49%
25%
26%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
LEC
2 - 3
USF
41%
26%
33%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
LEC
3 - 0
BV5
54%
25%
21%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | +3 |