Genoa vs Lazio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.2%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
30.1%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 1960 |
SPA
0 - 0
GEN
51%
24%
25%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1960 |
GEN
1 - 3
INT
28%
26%
47%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1960 |
USA
2 - 1
GEN
47%
24%
29%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 1960 |
GEN
0 - 0
PAD
35%
27%
39%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1960 |
ATL
2 - 1
GEN
62%
20%
18%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 1960 |
LAZ
1 - 1
BAR
59%
22%
19%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1960 |
ACM
1 - 0
LAZ
81%
12%
7%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1960 |
LAZ
3 - 1
SPA
54%
23%
24%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1960 |
FIO
2 - 2
LAZ
81%
12%
7%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 1960 |
SAM
4 - 0
LAZ
59%
22%
20%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | -1 |