Genoa vs Juventus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.5%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
33%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 1937 |
BOL
4 - 4
GEN
69%
18%
14%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1937 |
ASL
2 - 2
GEN
43%
24%
33%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1937 |
GEN
0 - 1
NAP
54%
22%
24%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 1937 |
SAM
0 - 2
GEN
44%
23%
33%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 1937 |
GEN
3 - 1
BAR
66%
18%
16%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 1937 |
JUV
6 - 1
LAZ
67%
17%
16%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1937 |
INT
2 - 0
JUV
59%
20%
20%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1937 |
JUV
4 - 1
USA
75%
15%
10%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1937 |
TOR
2 - 1
JUV
51%
22%
27%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1937 |
JUV
2 - 0
NAP
72%
16%
12%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |