Genoa vs Fidelis Andria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.7%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.1%
10.2%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 1996 |
VNZ
2 - 2
GEN
33%
28%
40%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1996 |
GEN
1 - 1
USF
52%
23%
25%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1996 |
ANC
2 - 3
GEN
41%
26%
33%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1996 |
GEN
3 - 0
AVE
73%
17%
10%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1996 |
BOL
2 - 1
GEN
39%
27%
34%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Fidelis Andria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 1996 |
FIA
1 - 0
CES
43%
28%
29%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1996 |
PES
5 - 1
FIA
63%
21%
16%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 May. 1996 |
FIA
1 - 1
REG
38%
30%
33%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1996 |
ASL
1 - 1
FIA
62%
23%
16%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1996 |
FIA
2 - 1
PIS
58%
25%
17%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |