Genoa vs Varese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.3%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
16%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.6%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21.3%
11.4%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 1980 |
BAR
2 - 0
GEN
47%
30%
23%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1980 |
GEN
3 - 1
TAR
63%
25%
13%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 1980 |
PAL
0 - 0
GEN
51%
29%
20%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1980 |
GEN
2 - 0
ASS
59%
25%
16%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1980 |
LEC
1 - 0
GEN
44%
31%
26%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 1980 |
VAR
1 - 1
CAT
63%
24%
13%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1980 |
PES
2 - 2
VAR
65%
22%
14%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1980 |
VAR
3 - 1
CES
43%
32%
25%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 1980 |
TAR
3 - 2
VAR
54%
29%
16%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1980 |
LAZ
2 - 1
VAR
73%
18%
9%
|
53 | 73 | 20 | -1 |