Genoa vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.6%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
17.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.6%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
12.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
26.9%
16.5%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1985 |
TRI
2 - 1
GEN
50%
29%
21%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1985 |
GEN
1 - 1
BRE
61%
25%
14%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1985 |
FCC
1 - 1
GEN
45%
31%
25%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1985 |
GEN
2 - 0
PAL
60%
25%
16%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1985 |
CAG
1 - 0
GEN
42%
32%
26%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1985 |
CES
0 - 0
CAG
59%
25%
16%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1985 |
CES
1 - 0
PAL
60%
24%
16%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1985 |
ARZ
2 - 2
CES
44%
33%
24%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1985 |
CES
2 - 1
PES
58%
26%
17%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 1985 |
CAT
2 - 4
CES
51%
30%
19%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |