Genoa Sub 19 vs Modena Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.2%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.3%
8.5%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
NOV
1 - 2
GEN
51%
23%
27%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
GEN
0 - 0
SAM
56%
23%
21%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
FIO
2 - 2
GEN
59%
22%
19%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
GRO
1 - 3
GEN
13%
21%
66%
|
35 | 16 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
GEN
1 - 1
SAS
69%
18%
13%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Modena Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
MOD
0 - 4
FIO
14%
22%
64%
|
23 | 39 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
MOD
0 - 3
CAG
31%
25%
44%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2012 |
MOD
0 - 1
SAS
50%
24%
27%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
EMP
3 - 0
MOD
67%
20%
13%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
MOD
0 - 1
SAM
32%
26%
42%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | -1 |