Genoa U18 vs Cagliari U18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.3%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.6%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
17.1%
15.6%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-47%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
56
2º
7º
5º
24
10º
18º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 73 |
1º
|
90.5% | |
|
3º
|
66 | 69 |
2º
|
32% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 68 |
3º
|
32% | |
|
4º
|
59 | 60 |
4º
|
66.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
56 | 57 |
5º
|
54% | |
|
6º
|
54 | 55 |
6º
|
87.5% | |
|
7º
|
51 | 51 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
47 | 48 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
43 | 46 |
9º
|
38.5% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 44 |
10º
|
29.5% | |
|
11º
|
41 | 42 |
11º
|
23% | |
|
12º
|
39 | 42 |
12º
|
21% | |
|
13º
|
38 | 41 |
13º
|
32% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
57% | |
|
15º
|
33 | 33 |
15º
|
41% | |
|
16º
|
32 | 32 |
16º
|
63% | |
|
|
17º
|
24 | 24 |
17º
|
43.5% | |
|
18º
|
23 | 24 |
18º
|
43.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
ASR
1 - 1
GEN
59%
21%
21%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
INT
3 - 1
GEN
62%
20%
19%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
GEN
0 - 2
EMP
72%
16%
12%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
CES
0 - 0
GEN
41%
24%
35%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2024 |
GEN
1 - 1
LAZ
62%
20%
19%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Cagliari U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
CAG
0 - 5
BOL
40%
21%
38%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
LEC
2 - 0
CAG
46%
22%
33%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
CAG
2 - 3
ASR
27%
21%
52%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
INT
3 - 2
CAG
68%
18%
15%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
CAG
0 - 3
EMP
58%
20%
23%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | -1 |