Cup Winners Cup . 1/16
Global 6-1
Genk vs MSV Duisburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.3%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
29.2%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1998 |
CHA
1 - 1
GNK
38%
26%
37%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1998 |
OOS
1 - 1
GNK
23%
24%
53%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1998 |
GNK
3 - 1
KVK
81%
13%
6%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1998 |
MSV
1 - 1
GNK
60%
21%
18%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1998 |
GNK
2 - 0
EEA
74%
16%
10%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
MSV Duisburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1998 |
SCF
2 - 2
MSV
45%
26%
30%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1998 |
CZJ
1 - 2
MSV
21%
23%
56%
|
82 | 61 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1998 |
MSV
2 - 2
MON
35%
25%
40%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1998 |
MSV
1 - 1
GNK
60%
21%
18%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1998 |
ROS
3 - 0
MSV
51%
24%
25%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | -1 |