Genk vs KAA Gent analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.1%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
16.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2004 |
ANT
3 - 1
GNK
20%
22%
57%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2004 |
GNK
1 - 1
RAA
70%
19%
12%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
CER
0 - 0
GNK
22%
23%
55%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2004 |
LOK
2 - 1
GNK
33%
24%
44%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2004 |
GNK
2 - 0
LIE
65%
20%
15%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
KAA Gent
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2004 |
GEN
1 - 1
LIE
49%
25%
26%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2004 |
MON
0 - 1
GEN
40%
26%
34%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
GEN
0 - 0
SDL
33%
25%
42%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2004 |
EXC
2 - 1
GEN
60%
21%
19%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2004 |
GEN
1 - 1
53%
24%
23%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |