Europa League Playoffs Quarter-finals
Global 3-4
Genk vs Celta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
42.2%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
KVK
0 - 3
GNK
32%
26%
42%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
CEL
3 - 2
GNK
63%
21%
16%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
KSV
0 - 1
GNK
21%
24%
55%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
GNK
4 - 0
LOK
60%
23%
17%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2017 |
GNK
1 - 1
GEN
49%
25%
26%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
GRA
0 - 3
CEL
22%
25%
52%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
CEL
3 - 2
GNK
63%
21%
16%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
CEL
0 - 2
EIB
50%
24%
26%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2017 |
VCF
3 - 2
CEL
52%
24%
25%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2017 |
CEL
3 - 1
UDL
58%
22%
20%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |