Europa League Playoffs. 1/16
Global 3-2
Genk vs FC Astra Giurgiu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.2%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
19.1%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
GNK
1 - 1
CHA
56%
24%
20%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2017 |
AST
2 - 2
GNK
37%
26%
37%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2017 |
STR
0 - 3
GNK
22%
26%
52%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2017 |
WAA
0 - 0
GNK
13%
24%
63%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
GNK
1 - 0
MOU
75%
17%
9%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
FC Astra Giurgiu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
AST
1 - 0
VIT
40%
25%
35%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2017 |
AST
2 - 2
GNK
37%
26%
37%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2017 |
AST
1 - 0
TAR
65%
21%
14%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
URA
0 - 1
AST
56%
24%
20%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2017 |
POG
3 - 1
AST
56%
23%
21%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |