Tweede Divisie - Play Offs Ascenso Final
Global 1-6
Genemuiden vs Excelsior Maassluis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.3%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
25.3%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genemuiden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2024 |
EXC
3 - 1
GEN
32%
25%
43%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
GEN
4 - 3
BLA
50%
23%
28%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2024 |
BLA
4 - 3
GEN
45%
24%
31%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
GEN
5 - 1
TIE
52%
22%
27%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2024 |
TIE
1 - 0
GEN
35%
25%
40%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior Maassluis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2024 |
EXC
3 - 1
GEN
32%
25%
43%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
EXC
2 - 1
HAR
33%
23%
44%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2024 |
HAR
1 - 1
EXC
50%
22%
28%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
EXC
3 - 0
USV
18%
21%
62%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | +2 |
| 29 May. 2024 |
USV
1 - 1
EXC
72%
17%
11%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | 0 |