Gendarmerie vs APEJAS analysis


41	ELO	42
4%	Tilt	-4.8%
8602º	General ELO ranking	31829º
6º	Country ELO ranking	21º
ELO win probability

53.8%

Gendarmerie

22.7%

Draw

23.5%

APEJAS

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

53.8%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%

22.7%

Draw

0-0

5%

1-1

10.6%

2-2

5.6%

3-3

1.3%

4-4

0.2%

5-5

<0%

0

22.7%

23.5%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Gendarmerie

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO
30 Dec. 2011	DIK 1 - 1 GEN 50% 24% 26%	42	41	1
26 Dec. 2011	CDE 1 - 0 GEN 53% 24% 24%	42	42	0
16 Dec. 2011	POR 3 - 0 GEN 54% 23% 23%	42	42	0
18 Mar. 2011	KAR 1 - 4 GEN 39% 24% 38%	42	33	9
07 Mar. 2011	GUE 1 - 0 GEN 55% 23% 23%	42	42	0

Matches

APEJAS

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
02 Jan. 2012	GUE 5 - 0 APE 54% 23% 23%	41	42	1	0
23 Dec. 2011	FCS 2 - 0 APE 55% 22% 23%	42	42	0	-1
19 Dec. 2011	TAD 6 - 1 APE 51% 24% 25%	42	42	0	0