Gemert vs UDI '19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.2%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
28.9%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+60%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gemert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
OSS
2 - 1
GEM
67%
19%
14%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
GEM
3 - 2
GRO
71%
17%
12%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
HAL
1 - 1
GEM
42%
22%
36%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
GEM
1 - 2
DON
27%
24%
49%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
BLA
2 - 0
GEM
37%
24%
39%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
UDI '19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
UDI
1 - 0
BAR
68%
18%
14%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
HAL
3 - 0
UDI
41%
22%
37%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | -3 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
DOS
2 - 2
UDI
33%
22%
45%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
OSS
3 - 0
UDI
55%
22%
23%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
UDI
2 - 1
BLA
57%
22%
22%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | +1 |