Gemert vs SV TEC Tiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.3%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
21.2%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gemert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
DEM
1 - 2
GEM
35%
24%
42%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
GEM
3 - 0
HOL
68%
18%
14%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
GRO
3 - 3
GEM
47%
24%
29%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
GEM
2 - 1
DON
48%
22%
29%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
HOO
2 - 2
GEM
24%
23%
53%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
SV TEC Tiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
AFC
2 - 1
TIE
72%
17%
11%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
TIE
1 - 0
EXC
42%
26%
33%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
HHC
1 - 1
TIE
60%
21%
19%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
TIE
3 - 1
NOO
29%
24%
47%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | +2 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
ASW
0 - 1
TIE
55%
22%
23%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | +1 |