Gemert vs Meerssen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.6%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
11.5%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gemert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
BLA
1 - 1
GEM
33%
27%
40%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
GEM
1 - 0
DEU
66%
20%
14%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
DON
1 - 1
GEM
35%
26%
40%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
GEM
3 - 0
GRO
65%
20%
16%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
DEV
0 - 4
GEM
28%
26%
46%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Meerssen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
MEE
0 - 1
VEN
41%
24%
35%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
OJC
3 - 0
MEE
42%
24%
34%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | -2 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
MEE
3 - 1
DES
59%
21%
20%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
EHC
4 - 0
MEE
56%
21%
23%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
MEE
1 - 3
BAR
42%
25%
33%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | -2 |