Gemert vs Dongen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.4%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
18.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gemert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
GRO
2 - 0
GEM
25%
25%
50%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
GEM
3 - 1
DEV
63%
20%
17%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
GEM
2 - 0
DIJ
68%
19%
13%
|
49 | 34 | 15 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
GEM
0 - 3
OJC
70%
18%
11%
|
50 | 34 | 16 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
DES
2 - 5
GEM
20%
24%
56%
|
50 | 29 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Dongen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
DON
0 - 3
VEN
67%
18%
15%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
OJC
4 - 1
DON
36%
24%
40%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | -2 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
DON
4 - 0
DES
75%
15%
10%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
DON
1 - 1
BAR
52%
23%
25%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
NUE
0 - 3
DON
44%
23%
34%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | +2 |