Gemert vs DESK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.7%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.7%
9.6%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gemert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
DEU
1 - 1
GEM
32%
26%
42%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
GEM
2 - 1
OJC
55%
22%
24%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
GEM
1 - 4
KOZ
51%
23%
27%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -2 |
| 13 May. 2007 |
EVV
1 - 0
GEM
43%
25%
33%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2007 |
GEM
4 - 2
BLA
59%
22%
19%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
DESK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
DES
2 - 3
BAR
30%
25%
46%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
PAP
2 - 3
DES
69%
18%
13%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | +1 |