Gemert vs Baronie analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.8%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
19.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gemert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
NUE
2 - 2
GEM
32%
25%
43%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
GEM
2 - 1
MEE
71%
18%
12%
|
49 | 32 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
BLA
1 - 1
GEM
33%
27%
40%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
GEM
1 - 0
DEU
66%
20%
14%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
DON
1 - 1
GEM
35%
26%
40%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Baronie
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
BAR
3 - 1
VEN
56%
23%
22%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
OJC
1 - 2
BAR
31%
25%
44%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
BAR
2 - 3
DES
74%
16%
10%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
EHC
2 - 4
BAR
53%
23%
24%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
BAR
1 - 1
DIJ
51%
23%
26%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |