Gemert vs Baronie analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.6%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
18.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
-33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gemert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
JVC
1 - 0
GEM
62%
21%
17%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
GEM
0 - 1
AFC
29%
26%
46%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
HOL
1 - 1
GEM
45%
27%
29%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
GEM
2 - 0
VVS
43%
26%
32%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
DET
1 - 1
GEM
69%
19%
12%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Baronie
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
BAR
2 - 3
LIE
24%
24%
52%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
EVV
2 - 0
BAR
70%
18%
12%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
BAR
0 - 1
FCO
18%
23%
59%
|
42 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
ACH
4 - 3
BAR
72%
18%
10%
|
43 | 60 | 17 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
BAR
3 - 4
ARG
25%
26%
50%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | 0 |