Geldrop vs De Valk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.5%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
27%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Geldrop
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
LON
0 - 2
GEL
34%
24%
42%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
GEL
4 - 1
WSC
61%
20%
20%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | +2 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
UNI
0 - 3
GEL
22%
23%
56%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
NUE
4 - 2
GEL
61%
20%
19%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | -3 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
GEL
4 - 2
VVR
40%
23%
37%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
De Valk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
DEV
3 - 1
UNI
79%
14%
7%
|
33 | 17 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
NUE
0 - 0
DEV
59%
21%
21%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
IFC
1 - 0
DEV
41%
24%
35%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
DEV
1 - 1
VVR
49%
23%
28%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | +2 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
DEV
3 - 2
WSC
61%
21%
18%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | -2 |